Tapping Into the Strength of Emerging Markets
Russ Koesterich | March 04, 2013 | Topics: Economic Outlook, Equities
One of the questions we're getting from investors is "What about emerging markets?" It seems that while the U.S. and Europe and Japan continue to struggle, the EM countries continue to march along. And I think this is a trend that's likely to continue for a number of years. So, as an investor, how do you take advantage of that?
There are two main ways to think about this, one of which is a direct investment in emerging markets. Actually going out there and either through owning the stocks directly or through a fund, having exposure to countries that are based, that are domiciled in emerging markets.
I think this does make sense for a number of investors because not only are these countries likely to grow faster over the longer term but they also provide some diversification in the portfolio. Their economies are in a different stage of the economic cycle, they often zig when the developed world zags. And from a portfolio construction standpoint, that's a good thing.
Another reason that investors may want to consider a direct investment in emerging markets today is that on a valuation basis, they're actually quite cheap.
Currently, EM stocks trade at about a 25% or greater discount than the developed world. At least historically, that has represented a good entry point and again another reason to consider that direct investment today.
The second way to think about emerging markets or getting exposure to emerging markets is by owning larger companies that are based in the United States. Now why larger companies? Well, the large and the mega cap companies derive more of their revenue from overseas sales and emerging markets in particular.
So large companies, what are known as the mega caps which are the largest companies, these provide an indirect play on the growth of emerging markets, on the growth of the emerging markets consumer. In particular, companies in the technology sector or the energy sector have very large exposures to EM so this is another place where an investor who's looking to get that indirect exposure can think about it.
So both from a direct — actually going out and buying the EM themselves — or indirectly from owning large companies in the United States, there are a couple of ways to try to lever off of that emerging market long-term theme.
Investing involves risk including loss of principal. Investments in emerging markets may be considered speculative and are more likely to experience hyperinflation and currency devaluations, which adversely affect returns. In addition, many emerging securities markets have lower trading volumes and less liquidity. The opinions presented are those of Russ Koesterich, BlackRock's Chief Investment Strategist, as of February 22, 2013 and may change as subsequent conditions vary. Individual portfolio managers for BlackRock may have opinions and/or made investment decisions that may, in certain respects, not be consistent with the information contained in this presentation. This is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are derived from proprietary and nonproprietary sources deemed by BlackRock to be reliable, are not necessarily all inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Index performance is shown for illustrative purposes only. You cannot invest directly in an index. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the viewer.
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BLACKROCK is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners.
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About the Author
Russ Koesterich, CFA
Chief Investment Strategist for BlackRock and iShares Chief Global Strategist
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